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Research · MLB props
Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell21+ · descriptive history vs a posted number · never a pick · hit rate vs the line + platoon split, not vs today's pitcher
| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -128 / +101 | · | 40%4/10 | 60%12/20 | 70%257/368 | 67%59/88 | 71%198/280 | 1.09 |
| Austin Riley bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 19%70/368 | 20%18/88 | 19%52/280 | 0.2 |
| Austin Riley bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -122 / -106 | 52% | 40%4/10 | 60%12/20 | 70%257/368 | 67%59/88 | 71%198/280 | 1.94 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -217 / +165 | 65% | 80%8/10 | 85%17/20 | 73%262/361 | 68%54/79 | 74%208/282 | 1.21 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%42/361 | 14%11/79 | 11%31/282 | 0.12 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +152 / -160 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 48%173/361 | 42%33/79 | 50%140/282 | 1.85 |
| Dominic Smith bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -167 / +137 | 59% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 62%186/299 | 63%34/54 | 62%152/245 | 0.86 |
| Dominic Smith bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%23/299 | 4%2/54 | 9%21/245 | 0.08 |
| Dominic Smith bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +182 / -244 | 33% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 34%102/299 | 39%21/54 | 33%81/245 | 1.28 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -222 / +169 | 65% | 90%9/10 | 70%14/20 | 62%75/121 | 69%11/16 | 61%64/105 | 0.92 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/121 | 0%0/16 | 1%1/105 | 0.16 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +124 / -154 | 42% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 39%47/121 | 50%8/16 | 37%39/105 | 1.57 |
| Francisco Alvarez bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -161 / +125 | 58% | 70%7/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%165/296 | 50%53/106 | 59%112/190 | 0.77 |
| Francisco Alvarez bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 14%42/296 | 16%17/106 | 13%25/190 | 0.16 |
| Francisco Alvarez bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 30%88/296 | 28%30/106 | 31%58/190 | 1.4 |
| Francisco Lindor bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -195 / +149 | 62% | 90%9/10 | 75%15/20 | 68%324/475 | 69%92/134 | 68%232/341 | 1.07 |
| Francisco Lindor bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%8/475 | 1%2/134 | 2%6/341 | 0.2 |
| Francisco Lindor bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +146 / -162 | 40% | 60%6/10 | 40%8/20 | 45%214/475 | 42%56/134 | 46%158/341 | 1.93 |
| Jared Young bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -104 / -112 | 49% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 40%14/35 | 50%1/2 | 39%13/33 | 0.46 |
| Jared Young bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 17%6/35 | 0%0/2 | 18%6/33 | 0.17 |
| Jared Young bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | +109 / -141 | 45% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 40%14/35 | 50%1/2 | 39%13/33 | 1.17 |
| Joey Bart bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%108/193 | 59%37/63 | 55%71/130 | 0.81 |
| Joey Bart bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 9%17/193 | 10%6/63 | 8%11/130 | 0.09 |
| Jorge Polanco bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 16%56/352 | 15%13/87 | 16%43/265 | 0.17 |
| Luis Torrens bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | +106 / -137 | 46% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 49%71/145 | 53%29/55 | 47%42/90 | 0.64 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -126 / -102 | 52% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%313/463 | 69%84/121 | 67%229/342 | 1 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%4/463 | 0%0/121 | 1%4/342 | 0.15 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -127 / +105 | · | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%313/463 | 69%84/121 | 67%229/342 | 1.67 |
| Matt Olson bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +153 | 63% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%330/480 | 68%84/124 | 69%246/356 | 1.03 |
| Matt Olson bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%12/480 | 1%1/124 | 3%11/356 | 0.23 |
| Matt Olson bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +124 / -150 | 44% | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 43%205/480 | 48%59/124 | 41%146/356 | 1.98 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -192 / +152 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 64%242/380 | 61%76/124 | 65%166/256 | 0.89 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 5%19/380 | 5%6/124 | 5%13/256 | 0.06 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +182 / -244 | 33% | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 31%118/380 | 31%38/124 | 31%80/256 | 1.26 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -247 / +186 | 67% | 80%8/10 | 60%12/20 | 66%266/403 | 69%74/108 | 65%192/295 | 1.04 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +390 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%49/403 | 8%9/108 | 14%40/295 | 0.14 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -145 | 44% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 38%152/403 | 35%38/108 | 39%114/295 | 1.7 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -184 / +147 | 62% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%276/399 | 76%78/103 | 67%198/296 | 1.05 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 14%55/399 | 13%13/103 | 14%42/296 | 0.15 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +152 / -154 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 41%165/399 | 45%46/103 | 40%119/296 | 1.73 |
| Tyrone Taylor bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -117 / -109 | 51% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 53%154/291 | 51%57/111 | 54%97/180 | 0.72 |
| Tyrone Taylor bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 7%19/291 | 4%4/111 | 8%15/180 | 0.07 |
| Tyrone Taylor bats R · ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -115 / -110 | 50% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 53%154/291 | 51%57/111 | 54%97/180 | 1.18 |
| Alec Bohm bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 11%45/425 | 14%18/125 | 9%27/300 | 0.11 |
| Alec Bohm bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +131 / -176 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 42%177/425 | 40%50/125 | 42%127/300 | 1.66 |
| Brandon Marsh bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%39/406 | 10%7/72 | 10%32/334 | 0.1 |
| Bryce Harper bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 18%76/420 | 15%22/143 | 19%54/277 | 0.2 |
| Bryce Harper bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -150 | 44% | 10%1/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%186/420 | 41%59/143 | 46%127/277 | 1.91 |
| Bryson Stott bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 9%39/457 | 9%8/93 | 9%31/364 | 0.09 |
| Esteury Ruiz bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%8/164 | 9%7/75 | 1%1/89 | 0.05 |
| Heriberto Hernandez bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%10/86 | 11%5/44 | 12%5/42 | 0.12 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/124 | 5%3/62 | 3%2/62 | 0.05 |
| Kyle Schwarber bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +180 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 26%128/485 | 30%50/164 | 24%78/321 | 0.31 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%22/189 | 0%0/30 | 14%22/159 | 0.15 |
| Leo Jimenez bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%5/73 | 6%2/32 | 7%3/41 | 0.07 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%6/119 | 0%0/15 | 6%6/104 | 0.05 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%20/254 | 3%3/87 | 10%17/167 | 0.08 |
| Trea Turner bats R · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%57/431 | 15%20/130 | 12%37/301 | 0.15 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/235 | 2%1/65 | 2%3/170 | 0.02 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | O 7.5 | +127 / -166 | 41% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 49%34/70 | 7.4 |
| Christian Scott ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | O 5.5 | +116 / -150 | 44% | 22%2/9 | 22%2/9 | 22%2/9 | 4.3 |
| AJ Smith-Shawver ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | O 4.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 60%6/10 | 39%7/18 | 39%7/18 | 3.9 |
| Sean Manaea ATL @ NYM · 7:10 PM ET | O 4.5 | -148 / +114 | 56% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%44/88 | 4.6 |
| Jesus Luzardo PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | O 7.5 | -115 / -113 | 50% | 40%4/10 | 20%4/20 | 30%24/79 | 6.3 |
| Ryan Gusto PHI @ MIA · 12:10 PM ET | O 4.5 | +105 / -136 | 46% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 37%10/27 | 3.6 |
The rest of the slate
14 more games of graded props · members onlyAZ @ PIT
12:35 PM ET · PNC Park
TOR @ WSH
1:05 PM ET · Nationals Park
ATL @ NYM
1:10 PM ET · Citi Field
BAL @ DET
1:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
MIL @ SF
3:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
COL @ SD
4:10 PM ET · Petco Park
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET · Tropicana Field
CLE @ CIN
7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
KC @ MIN
7:40 PM ET · Target Field
NYY @ CWS
7:40 PM ET · Rate Field
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET · Angel Stadium
BOS @ ATH
9:40 PM ET · Sutter Health Park
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
How to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.