Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -113 / -117 | 50% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%49/90 | 54%20/37 | 55%29/53 | 0.71 |
| Austin Wynns bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 8%7/90 | 8%3/37 | 8%4/53 | 0.08 |
| Ben Williamson bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -213 / +158 | 64% | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 60%49/82 | 63%17/27 | 58%32/55 | 0.85 |
| Ben Williamson bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/82 | 0%0/27 | 2%1/55 | 0.01 |
| Brandon Nimmo bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -212 / +158 | 64% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%306/461 | 64%83/130 | 67%223/331 | 0.99 |
| Brandon Nimmo bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 14%66/461 | 12%15/130 | 15%51/331 | 0.16 |
| Brandon Nimmo bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -176 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%189/461 | 39%51/130 | 42%138/331 | 1.68 |
| Cedric Mullins bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -189 / +141 | 61% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 55%211/383 | 54%45/84 | 56%166/299 | 0.77 |
| Cedric Mullins bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/383 | 0%0/84 | 1%2/299 | 0.13 |
| Cedric Mullins bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -185 | 39% | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 33%127/383 | 32%27/84 | 33%100/299 | 1.37 |
| Chandler Simpson bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +183 / -248 | 33% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 30%32/107 | 21%5/24 | 33%27/83 | 1.14 |
| Chandler Simpson bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/107 | 0%0/24 | 0%0/83 | 0 |
| Chandler Simpson bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +127 / -165 | 41% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 36%38/107 | 21%5/24 | 40%33/83 | 1.34 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -121 / -110 | 51% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%80/144 | 44%7/16 | 57%73/128 | 0.78 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%16/144 | 6%1/16 | 12%15/128 | 0.11 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%80/144 | 44%7/16 | 57%73/128 | 1.38 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -220 / +164 | 64% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 55%155/284 | 51%59/116 | 57%96/168 | 0.79 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%17/284 | 5%6/116 | 7%11/168 | 0.06 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +150 / -190 | 38% | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 30%85/284 | 30%35/116 | 30%50/168 | 1.15 |
| Hunter Feduccia bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -101 / -131 | 47% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%15/41 | 20%1/5 | 39%14/36 | 0.41 |
| Hunter Feduccia bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/41 | 0%0/5 | 0%0/36 | 0 |
| Jake Burger bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -186 / +139 | 61% | 30%3/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%235/378 | 60%74/124 | 63%161/254 | 0.91 |
| Jake Burger bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 19%72/378 | 13%16/124 | 22%56/254 | 0.21 |
| Joc Pederson bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +138 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 40%8/20 | 51%178/346 | 48%11/23 | 52%167/323 | 0.67 |
| Joc Pederson bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +390 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%46/346 | 13%3/23 | 13%43/323 | 0.14 |
| Jonathan Aranda bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -264 / +194 | 68% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 61%113/184 | 56%15/27 | 62%98/157 | 0.91 |
| Jonathan Aranda bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/184 | 0%0/27 | 0%0/157 | 0.12 |
| Jonathan Aranda bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +106 / -135 | 46% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 35%65/184 | 33%9/27 | 36%56/157 | 1.46 |
| Josh Smith bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -135 / +102 | 54% | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 58%212/365 | 52%36/69 | 59%176/296 | 0.81 |
| Josh Smith bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 8%28/365 | 6%4/69 | 8%24/296 | 0.08 |
| Junior Caminero bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +177 / -239 | 34% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 27%55/206 | 24%15/62 | 28%40/144 | 1.01 |
| Junior Caminero bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +245 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%48/206 | 18%11/62 | 26%37/144 | 0.25 |
| Junior Caminero bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -118 / -110 | 51% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 43%88/206 | 37%23/62 | 45%65/144 | 1.96 |
| Nicky Lopez bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -194 / +145 | 62% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 50%106/210 | 39%9/23 | 52%97/187 | 0.71 |
| Nicky Lopez bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/210 | 0%0/23 | 1%2/187 | 0.01 |
| Richie Palacios bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -131 / -101 | 53% | 60%6/10 | 40%8/20 | 49%67/136 | 71%12/17 | 46%55/119 | 0.71 |
| Richie Palacios bats L · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 8%11/136 | 12%2/17 | 8%9/119 | 0.09 |
| Wyatt Langford bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -240 / +178 | 66% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 62%166/266 | 61%40/66 | 63%126/200 | 0.92 |
| Wyatt Langford bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/266 | 0%0/66 | 0%0/200 | 0.14 |
| Wyatt Langford bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -157 | 43% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%98/266 | 33%22/66 | 38%76/200 | 1.57 |
| Yandy Diaz bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +151 / -190 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 34%148/432 | 31%36/117 | 36%112/315 | 1.17 |
| Yandy Diaz bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +7000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%2/432 | 1%1/117 | 0%1/315 | 0.14 |
| Yandy Diaz bats R · TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -105 / -125 | 48% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 45%195/432 | 44%51/117 | 46%144/315 | 1.83 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns CLE @ CIN · 1:40 PM ET | O 6.5 | +104 / -132 | 46% | 30%3/10 | 43%6/14 | 43%6/14 | 4.9 |
| Slade Cecconi CLE @ CIN · 1:40 PM ET | O 4.5 | -130 / +100 | 53% | 20%2/10 | 40%8/20 | 26%14/53 | 3.7 |
| Griffin Jax TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | O 5.5 | -105 / -122 | 48% | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/220 | 1.2 |
| Cal Quantrill TEX @ TB · 6:40 PM ET | O 2.5 | -146 / +112 | 56% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 62%46/74 | 3.4 |
The rest of the slate
13 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.