Edge Labs · Situational
Umpire tendencies
Per home-plate umpire since 2023: games worked, average combined runs, how often the game cleared the consensus total (OVER %, pushes set aside), and home win %. The OVER % is measured against the number the market itself set, so it reads as a lean above or below the league baseline. This is a real run-environment signal with the sample shown, not a pick.
90Umpires · 30+ games
49.4%League over baseline
52.7%League home win %
8,486Games in sample
D.J. Reyburn
Clear × 49.5%Over vs total
8.75Avg runs
8.47Avg total
63.6%Home win %
110Games · 107 decided
Over the 110 games D.J. Reyburn worked, the game cleared the consensus total 49.5% of the time against a league baseline of 49.4%. Run environment ran +0.27 vs the number the market set. Sample shown · context, not a pick.
21+ · research, not advice · over % set against the market's own consensus total · pushes excluded from over %
| Umpire | Games | Decided | Avg runs | Avg total | Over % | Lean | Home win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Márquez | 111 | 106 | 9.95 | 8.51 | 62.3% | +1.44 | 49.5% |
| Andy Fletcher | 105 | 103 | 10.60 | 8.57 | 60.2% | +2.03 | 55.2% |
| Adrian Johnson | 102 | 96 | 9.83 | 8.58 | 59.4% | +1.25 | 50.0% |
| Nate Tomlinson | 102 | 100 | 9.42 | 8.60 | 59.0% | +0.82 | 51.0% |
| Dan Bellino | 111 | 107 | 9.78 | 8.44 | 58.9% | +1.35 | 56.8% |
| James Jean | 46 | 43 | 9.72 | 8.74 | 58.1% | +0.98 | 60.9% |
| Lance Barrett | 114 | 107 | 9.30 | 8.33 | 57.9% | +0.96 | 45.6% |
| Mike Muchlinski | 108 | 101 | 9.85 | 8.33 | 57.4% | +1.52 | 56.5% |
| Ryan Additon | 103 | 101 | 9.30 | 8.51 | 57.4% | +0.79 | 52.4% |
| Mark Wegner | 98 | 96 | 9.78 | 8.49 | 57.3% | +1.28 | 50.0% |
| Tom Hanahan | 85 | 82 | 9.19 | 8.41 | 57.3% | +0.78 | 50.6% |
| Jordan Baker | 107 | 102 | 9.36 | 8.54 | 56.9% | +0.81 | 48.6% |
| Malachi Moore | 108 | 104 | 9.58 | 8.44 | 56.7% | +1.14 | 52.8% |
| Brian Walsh | 91 | 85 | 9.52 | 8.30 | 56.5% | +1.21 | 52.7% |
| Ben May | 105 | 101 | 9.76 | 8.49 | 56.4% | +1.27 | 52.4% |
| Willie Traynor | 37 | 36 | 9.95 | 8.53 | 55.6% | +1.41 | 45.9% |
| Jansen Visconti | 107 | 103 | 9.02 | 8.53 | 55.3% | +0.49 | 45.8% |
| Jonathan Parra | 36 | 33 | 8.42 | 8.48 | 54.5% | -0.06 | 47.2% |
| Bruce Dreckman | 98 | 94 | 9.00 | 8.54 | 54.3% | +0.46 | 45.9% |
| Mark Ripperger | 112 | 104 | 9.10 | 8.43 | 53.8% | +0.67 | 50.9% |
| Edwin Moscoso | 112 | 108 | 9.04 | 8.48 | 53.7% | +0.55 | 52.7% |
| Chad Whitson | 89 | 86 | 9.26 | 8.45 | 53.5% | +0.81 | 57.3% |
| CB Bucknor | 81 | 75 | 8.74 | 8.44 | 53.3% | +0.30 | 60.5% |
| Bill Miller | 114 | 108 | 8.82 | 8.16 | 52.8% | +0.65 | 53.5% |
| Jim Wolf | 99 | 95 | 8.87 | 8.50 | 52.6% | +0.37 | 60.6% |
| Vic Carapazza | 118 | 115 | 9.23 | 8.43 | 52.2% | +0.80 | 44.9% |
| Chris Guccione | 96 | 92 | 9.52 | 8.55 | 52.2% | +0.97 | 58.3% |
| Quinn Wolcott | 108 | 104 | 8.93 | 8.33 | 51.9% | +0.59 | 52.8% |
| Derek Thomas | 86 | 85 | 9.48 | 8.73 | 51.8% | +0.74 | 50.0% |
| Erich Bacchus | 101 | 95 | 9.21 | 8.46 | 51.6% | +0.75 | 52.5% |
| John Tumpane | 104 | 99 | 8.95 | 8.37 | 51.5% | +0.59 | 51.0% |
| Emil Jimenez | 101 | 97 | 9.30 | 8.61 | 51.5% | +0.69 | 55.4% |
| Larry Vanover | 36 | 33 | 9.17 | 8.48 | 51.5% | +0.69 | 50.0% |
| Adam Hamari | 116 | 111 | 8.80 | 8.45 | 51.4% | +0.35 | 64.7% |
| Hunter Wendelstedt | 77 | 76 | 9.05 | 8.52 | 51.3% | +0.54 | 55.8% |
| Shane Livensparger | 84 | 82 | 8.73 | 8.40 | 51.2% | +0.32 | 56.0% |
| Mike Estabrook | 109 | 106 | 8.96 | 8.48 | 50.9% | +0.48 | 57.8% |
| Nestor Ceja | 111 | 107 | 8.50 | 8.43 | 50.5% | +0.07 | 55.0% |
| Clint Vondrak | 107 | 103 | 9.87 | 8.67 | 50.5% | +1.20 | 47.7% |
| Gabe Morales | 110 | 108 | 8.46 | 8.33 | 50.0% | +0.13 | 50.0% |
| Doug Eddings | 118 | 111 | 8.69 | 8.32 | 49.5% | +0.37 | 60.2% |
| David Rackley | 115 | 109 | 8.87 | 8.73 | 49.5% | +0.14 | 59.1% |
| D.J. Reyburn | 110 | 107 | 8.75 | 8.47 | 49.5% | +0.27 | 63.6% |
| Sean Barber | 107 | 103 | 9.23 | 8.52 | 49.5% | +0.71 | 57.0% |
| Roberto Ortiz | 101 | 95 | 8.69 | 8.36 | 49.5% | +0.33 | 55.4% |
| Jeremie Rehak | 99 | 96 | 9.02 | 8.49 | 49.0% | +0.53 | 62.6% |
| Will Little | 98 | 94 | 8.91 | 8.44 | 48.9% | +0.47 | 51.0% |
| James Hoye | 105 | 99 | 8.94 | 8.58 | 48.5% | +0.37 | 48.6% |
| Chad Fairchild | 101 | 97 | 9.20 | 8.51 | 48.5% | +0.69 | 37.6% |
| Chris Segal | 109 | 107 | 8.68 | 8.32 | 47.7% | +0.36 | 58.7% |
| Paul Clemons | 87 | 84 | 8.54 | 8.36 | 47.6% | +0.18 | 52.9% |
| Mark Carlson | 61 | 59 | 8.59 | 8.31 | 47.5% | +0.28 | 55.7% |
| Manny Gonzalez | 99 | 95 | 8.78 | 8.51 | 47.4% | +0.27 | 54.5% |
| Lance Barksdale | 112 | 108 | 8.75 | 8.62 | 47.2% | +0.13 | 54.5% |
| Brian O'Nora | 99 | 94 | 8.90 | 8.48 | 46.8% | +0.41 | 49.5% |
| Nick Mahrley | 99 | 94 | 8.87 | 8.58 | 46.8% | +0.29 | 47.5% |
| Nic Lentz | 109 | 105 | 8.51 | 8.55 | 46.7% | -0.03 | 47.7% |
| Carlos Torres | 106 | 101 | 9.01 | 8.66 | 46.5% | +0.35 | 60.4% |
| Chris Conroy | 72 | 69 | 8.63 | 8.41 | 46.4% | +0.22 | 55.6% |
| Ramon De Jesus | 106 | 102 | 9.33 | 8.47 | 46.1% | +0.86 | 43.4% |
| Dan Iassogna | 106 | 102 | 9.16 | 8.51 | 46.1% | +0.65 | 51.9% |
| Junior Valentine | 101 | 96 | 8.86 | 8.64 | 45.8% | +0.23 | 47.5% |
| Brock Ballou | 61 | 57 | 8.66 | 8.69 | 45.6% | -0.03 | 49.2% |
| Alan Porter | 111 | 108 | 8.89 | 8.51 | 45.4% | +0.39 | 51.4% |
| Charlie Ramos | 101 | 95 | 8.81 | 8.61 | 45.3% | +0.20 | 50.5% |
| Marvin Hudson | 100 | 93 | 8.46 | 8.49 | 45.2% | -0.03 | 58.0% |
| Dan Merzel | 104 | 102 | 8.73 | 8.45 | 45.1% | +0.28 | 53.8% |
| Edwin Jimenez | 73 | 69 | 8.85 | 8.48 | 44.9% | +0.37 | 43.8% |
| John Libka | 109 | 105 | 9.06 | 8.52 | 44.8% | +0.53 | 43.1% |
| John Bacon | 71 | 67 | 8.42 | 8.42 | 44.8% | 0.00 | 57.7% |
| Tripp Gibson | 98 | 90 | 9.30 | 8.52 | 44.4% | +0.78 | 54.1% |
| Todd Tichenor | 107 | 104 | 8.32 | 8.53 | 44.2% | -0.21 | 49.5% |
| Adam Beck | 108 | 102 | 8.69 | 8.47 | 44.1% | +0.21 | 50.0% |
| Rob Drake | 76 | 75 | 8.66 | 8.52 | 44.0% | +0.13 | 50.0% |
| Laz Diaz | 98 | 94 | 8.56 | 8.41 | 43.6% | +0.15 | 65.3% |
| Ryan Wills | 110 | 108 | 8.74 | 8.69 | 43.5% | +0.05 | 50.9% |
| Stu Scheurwater | 110 | 106 | 8.91 | 8.55 | 43.4% | +0.36 | 52.7% |
| Scott Barry | 78 | 74 | 9.12 | 8.48 | 43.2% | +0.63 | 51.3% |
| Jeremy Riggs | 40 | 40 | 8.78 | 8.48 | 42.5% | +0.29 | 52.5% |
| Tony Randazzo | 77 | 76 | 8.29 | 8.46 | 42.1% | -0.18 | 51.9% |
| Cory Blaser | 99 | 97 | 7.97 | 8.45 | 41.2% | -0.48 | 55.6% |
| Ron Kulpa | 59 | 56 | 8.71 | 8.53 | 41.1% | +0.19 | 49.2% |
| Alex Tosi | 110 | 103 | 8.45 | 8.58 | 40.8% | -0.13 | 45.5% |
| Alex MacKay | 90 | 84 | 8.12 | 8.50 | 40.5% | -0.38 | 53.3% |
| Ryan Blakney | 100 | 95 | 7.86 | 8.50 | 40.0% | -0.64 | 63.0% |
| Jacob Metz | 52 | 48 | 7.71 | 8.42 | 39.6% | -0.71 | 46.2% |
| Brennan Miller | 103 | 100 | 8.02 | 8.54 | 37.0% | -0.52 | 49.5% |
| Phil Cuzzi | 86 | 80 | 7.93 | 8.31 | 36.3% | -0.38 | 64.0% |
| Austin Jones | 50 | 50 | 7.94 | 8.48 | 36.0% | -0.54 | 40.0% |
| Brian Knight | 40 | 37 | 7.75 | 8.59 | 29.7% | -0.84 | 42.5% |
Consensus total is the median 'totals' line at the last capture on or before first pitch. Over % is the share of decided games (pushes removed) that finished above that number, so it compares each umpire to the market's own expectation, not a flat over/under. Lean is average runs minus the average consensus total. A signal with its sample, never a guaranteed play.