Research · MLB props

Prop screener

Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.

Prev Thu, Jul 16 2026 Next Today 1 games · 1 with posted props · 37 graded lines · first 1 games free

Batter props

consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell

21+ · descriptive history vs a posted number · never a pick · hit rate vs the line + platoon split, not vs today's pitcher

Player	Market	Line	O / U best	Mkt O%	L10	L20	Season	vs LHP	vs RHP	Avg
Alec Bohm bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-199 / +148	62%	90%9/10	70%14/20	71%301/425	70%88/125	71%213/300	1.08
Alec Bohm bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+7000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%2/425	1%1/125	0%1/300	0.11
Alec Bohm bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+150 / -193	38%	40%4/10	45%9/20	42%177/425	40%50/125	42%127/300	1.66
Bo Bichette bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 1.5	+193 / -262	32%	30%3/10	45%9/20	35%126/361	30%24/79	36%102/282	1.21
Bo Bichette bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+8000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%1/361	1%1/79	0%0/282	0.12
Bo Bichette bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+115 / -148	44%	40%4/10	55%11/20	48%173/361	42%33/79	50%140/282	1.85
Brandon Marsh bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-233 / +172	66%	50%5/10	60%12/20	57%232/406	49%35/72	59%197/334	0.83
Brandon Marsh bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+4000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%1/406	0%0/72	0%1/334	0.1
Brandon Marsh bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+122 / -150	42%	20%2/10	45%9/20	34%138/406	28%20/72	35%118/334	1.35
Brett Baty bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-149 / +112	56%	50%5/10	55%11/20	56%154/275	57%33/58	56%121/217	0.76
Brett Baty bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+500 / ·	·	20%2/10	15%3/20	11%29/275	10%6/58	11%23/217	0.11
Bryce Harper bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-252 / +186	67%	60%6/10	65%13/20	68%285/420	69%99/143	67%186/277	1.05
Bryce Harper bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+255 / ·	·	0%0/10	15%3/20	18%76/420	15%22/143	19%54/277	0.2
Bryce Harper bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+105 / -132	46%	10%1/10	40%8/20	44%186/420	41%59/143	46%127/277	1.91
Bryson Stott bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-243 / +180	66%	60%6/10	70%14/20	65%298/457	67%62/93	65%236/364	0.94
Bryson Stott bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+525 / ·	·	10%1/10	15%3/20	9%39/457	9%8/93	9%31/364	0.09
Bryson Stott bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+131 / -165	41%	20%2/10	30%6/20	36%163/457	32%30/93	37%133/364	1.4
Francisco Alvarez bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-162 / +122	58%	70%7/10	55%11/20	56%165/296	50%53/106	59%112/190	0.77
Francisco Alvarez bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+425 / ·	·	30%3/10	20%4/20	14%42/296	16%17/106	13%25/190	0.16
Francisco Lindor bats S · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-207 / +154	63%	90%9/10	75%15/20	68%324/475	69%92/134	68%232/341	1.07
Francisco Lindor bats S · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+370 / ·	·	40%4/10	25%5/20	19%88/475	23%31/134	17%57/341	0.2
Francisco Lindor bats S · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+121 / -160	42%	60%6/10	40%8/20	45%214/475	42%56/134	46%158/341	1.93
Jared Young bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-152 / +115	56%	40%4/10	35%7/20	40%14/35	50%1/2	39%13/33	0.46
Jared Young bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+425 / ·	·	20%2/10	20%4/20	17%6/35	0%0/2	18%6/33	0.17
Jorge Polanco bats S · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-175 / +131	60%	50%5/10	55%11/20	64%227/352	67%58/87	64%169/265	0.87
Jorge Polanco bats S · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+390 / ·	·	10%1/10	20%4/20	16%56/352	15%13/87	16%43/265	0.17
Juan Soto bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-207 / +154	63%	70%7/10	70%14/20	66%319/485	62%88/141	67%231/344	1.01
Juan Soto bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+1500 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	3%16/485	2%3/141	4%13/344	0.25
Juan Soto bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+110 / -139	45%	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%208/485	40%57/141	44%151/344	1.97
Kyle Schwarber bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-198 / +147	62%	40%4/10	55%11/20	60%290/485	65%107/164	57%183/321	0.86
Kyle Schwarber bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+186 / ·	·	30%3/10	30%6/20	26%128/485	30%50/164	24%78/321	0.31
Kyle Schwarber bats L · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+105 / -135	46%	40%4/10	45%9/20	42%202/485	42%69/164	41%133/321	1.94
Trea Turner bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-235 / +186	67%	70%7/10	75%15/20	71%308/431	73%95/130	71%213/301	1.21
Trea Turner bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+5500 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	2%8/431	2%2/130	2%6/301	0.15
Trea Turner bats R · NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+125 / -150	43%	50%5/10	45%9/20	46%200/431	51%66/130	45%134/301	1.94

Pitcher strikeout props

starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine

Pitcher	Line	O / U	Mkt O%	L10	L20	Season	Avg Ks
Christian Scott NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	O 5.5	0 / -128	·	22%2/9	22%2/9	22%2/9	4.3
Aaron Nola NYM @ PHI · 6:10 PM ET	O 5.5	+124 / -160	42%	40%4/10	60%12/20	58%51/88	6

How to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.