Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -264 / +194 | 68% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 64%245/385 | 58%37/64 | 65%208/321 | 0.96 |
| Alec Burleson bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%46/385 | 8%5/64 | 13%41/321 | 0.12 |
| Alec Burleson bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +111 / -143 | 45% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 38%147/385 | 30%19/64 | 40%128/321 | 1.51 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +149 / -200 | 38% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 35%126/361 | 30%24/79 | 36%102/282 | 1.21 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%42/361 | 14%11/79 | 11%31/282 | 0.12 |
| Bo Bichette bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +105 / -132 | 46% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 48%173/361 | 42%33/79 | 50%140/282 | 1.85 |
| Brett Baty bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -172 / +129 | 59% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%154/275 | 57%33/58 | 56%121/217 | 0.76 |
| Brett Baty bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 11%29/275 | 10%6/58 | 11%23/217 | 0.11 |
| Francisco Alvarez bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -168 / +126 | 59% | 70%7/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%165/296 | 50%53/106 | 59%112/190 | 0.77 |
| Francisco Alvarez bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 14%42/296 | 16%17/106 | 13%25/190 | 0.16 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -237 / +176 | 66% | 80%8/10 | 80%16/20 | 67%126/188 | 64%36/56 | 68%90/132 | 1.01 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 12%22/188 | 11%6/56 | 12%16/132 | 0.13 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +128 / -163 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 39%73/188 | 38%21/56 | 39%52/132 | 1.55 |
| Jared Young bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -192 / +143 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 40%14/35 | 50%1/2 | 39%13/33 | 0.46 |
| Jared Young bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 17%6/35 | 0%0/2 | 18%6/33 | 0.17 |
| Jared Young bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -182 | 38% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 26%9/35 | 50%1/2 | 24%8/33 | 1.17 |
| Jimmy Crooks bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -123 / -107 | 52% | 30%3/10 | 38%5/13 | 38%5/13 | 100%1/1 | 33%4/12 | 0.46 |
| Jimmy Crooks bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 8%1/13 | 8%1/13 | 0%0/1 | 8%1/12 | 0.08 |
| Jimmy Crooks bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -120 / -110 | 51% | 30%3/10 | 38%5/13 | 38%5/13 | 100%1/1 | 33%4/12 | 0.85 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -215 / +160 | 64% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 63%170/268 | 55%49/89 | 68%121/179 | 0.85 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/268 | 0%0/89 | 0%0/179 | 0.1 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -157 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 32%86/268 | 27%24/89 | 35%62/179 | 1.34 |
| Juan Soto bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -241 / +178 | 66% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%319/485 | 62%88/141 | 67%231/344 | 1.01 |
| Juan Soto bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%16/485 | 2%3/141 | 4%13/344 | 0.25 |
| Juan Soto bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -145 | 44% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 43%208/485 | 40%57/141 | 44%151/344 | 1.97 |
| Lars Nootbaar bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -182 / +137 | 60% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%215/343 | 60%51/85 | 64%164/258 | 0.92 |
| Lars Nootbaar bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 11%38/343 | 12%10/85 | 11%28/258 | 0.11 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -228 / +169 | 65% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%313/463 | 69%84/121 | 67%229/342 | 1 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%4/463 | 0%0/121 | 1%4/342 | 0.15 |
| Marcus Semien bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -170 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 43%197/463 | 41%50/121 | 43%147/342 | 1.67 |
| Masyn Winn bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -173 / +130 | 59% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 66%199/302 | 67%62/93 | 66%137/209 | 1 |
| Masyn Winn bats R · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 8%25/302 | 9%8/93 | 8%17/209 | 0.09 |
| MJ Melendez bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 53%161/302 | 67%33/49 | 51%128/253 | 0.72 |
| MJ Melendez bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%34/302 | 14%7/49 | 11%27/253 | 0.12 |
| Nathan Church bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -145 / +120 | 56% | 40%4/10 | 37%7/19 | 37%7/19 | 60%3/5 | 29%4/14 | 0.53 |
| Nathan Church bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/19 | 5%1/19 | 0%0/5 | 7%1/14 | 0.05 |
| Nolan Gorman bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -123 / -108 | 52% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 54%173/323 | 51%32/63 | 54%141/260 | 0.75 |
| Nolan Gorman bats L · STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 16%53/323 | 13%8/63 | 17%45/260 | 0.19 |
| Connor Norby bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -136 / +115 | 55% | 60%6/10 | 75%15/20 | 65%86/132 | 65%30/46 | 65%56/86 | 0.91 |
| Connor Norby bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%16/132 | 11%5/46 | 13%11/86 | 0.13 |
| Corbin Carroll bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +185 | 67% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 68%317/464 | 68%86/127 | 69%231/337 | 0.99 |
| Corbin Carroll bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 16%72/464 | 13%16/127 | 17%56/337 | 0.17 |
| Corbin Carroll bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +105 / -132 | 46% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 45%210/464 | 48%61/127 | 44%149/337 | 1.88 |
| Gabriel Moreno bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -211 / +157 | 64% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 61%182/298 | 61%65/106 | 61%117/192 | 0.91 |
| Gabriel Moreno bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%25/298 | 6%6/106 | 10%19/192 | 0.08 |
| Geraldo Perdomo bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -206 / +153 | 63% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 61%252/411 | 62%64/103 | 61%188/308 | 0.92 |
| Geraldo Perdomo bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 8%31/411 | 5%5/103 | 8%26/308 | 0.08 |
| Ildemaro Vargas bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +168 | 65% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 59%124/209 | 67%68/101 | 52%56/108 | 0.78 |
| Ildemaro Vargas bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%8/209 | 4%4/101 | 4%4/108 | 0.04 |
| Ildemaro Vargas bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +155 / -200 | 37% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 27%56/209 | 35%35/101 | 19%21/108 | 1.08 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -173 / +130 | 59% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%37/54 | 65%11/17 | 70%26/37 | 1.13 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%4/54 | 6%1/17 | 8%3/37 | 0.09 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -244 / +180 | 67% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%62/124 | 48%30/62 | 52%32/62 | 0.68 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/124 | 5%3/62 | 3%2/62 | 0.05 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +142 / -180 | 40% | 60%6/10 | 40%8/20 | 29%36/124 | 31%19/62 | 27%17/62 | 1.08 |
| Ketel Marte bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -256 / +188 | 67% | 90%9/10 | 60%12/20 | 72%304/425 | 76%112/148 | 69%192/277 | 1.09 |
| Ketel Marte bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%6/425 | 1%1/148 | 2%5/277 | 0.21 |
| Ketel Marte bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -143 | 44% | 70%7/10 | 45%9/20 | 46%196/425 | 50%74/148 | 44%122/277 | 1.99 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -209 / +156 | 63% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%109/189 | 50%15/30 | 59%94/159 | 0.83 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +350 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%22/189 | 0%0/30 | 14%22/159 | 0.15 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -154 | 43% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 31%59/189 | 37%11/30 | 30%48/159 | 1.5 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -247 / +182 | 67% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%61/119 | 20%3/15 | 56%58/104 | 0.69 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%6/119 | 0%0/15 | 6%6/104 | 0.05 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -173 | 39% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 22%26/119 | 20%3/15 | 22%23/104 | 0.97 |
| Nolan Arenado bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -206 / +153 | 63% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 68%265/392 | 64%68/106 | 69%197/286 | 1.02 |
| Nolan Arenado bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%52/392 | 11%12/106 | 14%40/286 | 0.14 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +190 / -258 | 32% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 22%57/254 | 16%14/87 | 26%43/167 | 0.96 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%20/254 | 3%3/87 | 10%17/167 | 0.08 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -141 | 43% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 34%87/254 | 30%26/87 | 37%61/167 | 1.39 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -129 / -102 | 53% | 30%3/10 | 27%3/11 | 27%3/11 | ·n=0 | 27%3/11 | 0.45 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 9%1/11 | 9%1/11 | ·n=0 | 9%1/11 | 0.09 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -130 / +100 | 53% | 30%3/10 | 27%3/11 | 27%3/11 | ·n=0 | 27%3/11 | 0.82 |
| Pavin Smith bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -137 / +103 | 54% | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 45%97/215 | 48%10/21 | 45%87/194 | 0.65 |
| Pavin Smith bats L · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 10%21/215 | 14%3/21 | 9%18/194 | 0.11 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -256 / +189 | 68% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 72%170/235 | 68%44/65 | 74%126/170 | 1.15 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/235 | 2%1/65 | 2%3/170 | 0.02 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +131 / -170 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 40%94/235 | 38%25/65 | 41%69/170 | 1.43 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | O 5.5 | +130 / -164 | 41% | 22%2/9 | 22%2/9 | 22%2/9 | 4.3 |
| Hunter Dobbins STL @ NYM · 1:10 PM ET | O 3.5 | -2 / -130 | · | 50%5/10 | 54%7/13 | 54%7/13 | 3.5 |
| Merrill Kelly AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | O 4.5 | +105 / -137 | 46% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 66%52/79 | 5.6 |
| Tyler Phillips AZ @ MIA · 1:10 PM ET | O 3.5 | +115 / -144 | 44% | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 10%6/62 | 1.3 |
The rest of the slate
5 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.