Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -253 / +187 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 65%226/347 | 65%40/62 | 65%186/285 | 0.9 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +320 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 21%72/347 | 23%14/62 | 20%58/285 | 0.21 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +182 / -247 | 33% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 27%123/451 | 31%37/119 | 26%86/332 | 1.03 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%59/451 | 11%13/119 | 14%46/332 | 0.14 |
| Endy Rodriguez bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -167 / +125 | 58% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 51%36/71 | 48%11/23 | 52%25/48 | 0.7 |
| Endy Rodriguez bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 4%3/71 | 4%1/23 | 4%2/48 | 0.04 |
| Esteury Ruiz bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%8/164 | 9%7/75 | 1%1/89 | 0.05 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -270 / +199 | 69% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 66%77/116 | 60%26/43 | 70%51/73 | 1.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 3%3/116 | 2%1/43 | 3%2/73 | 0.03 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -136 / +102 | 54% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%37/54 | 65%11/17 | 70%26/37 | 1.13 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%4/54 | 6%1/17 | 8%3/37 | 0.09 |
| Jared Triolo bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -153 / +115 | 57% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 58%156/270 | 57%51/90 | 58%105/180 | 0.79 |
| Jared Triolo bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 7%19/270 | 3%3/90 | 9%16/180 | 0.07 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -242 / +179 | 66% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%62/124 | 48%30/62 | 52%32/62 | 0.68 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/124 | 5%3/62 | 3%2/62 | 0.05 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -190 | 38% | 60%6/10 | 40%8/20 | 29%36/124 | 31%19/62 | 27%17/62 | 1.08 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -202 / +151 | 63% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%109/189 | 50%15/30 | 59%94/159 | 0.83 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%22/189 | 0%0/30 | 14%22/159 | 0.15 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -225 / +167 | 65% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%61/119 | 20%3/15 | 56%58/104 | 0.69 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%6/119 | 0%0/15 | 6%6/104 | 0.05 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -275 / +202 | 69% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 67%149/221 | 60%36/60 | 70%113/161 | 1 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%14/221 | 10%6/60 | 5%8/161 | 0.06 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +150 / -201 | 37% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 22%57/254 | 16%14/87 | 26%43/167 | 0.96 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%20/254 | 3%3/87 | 10%17/167 | 0.08 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -107 / -124 | 48% | 30%3/10 | 27%3/11 | 27%3/11 | ·n=0 | 27%3/11 | 0.45 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 9%1/11 | 9%1/11 | ·n=0 | 9%1/11 | 0.09 |
| Spencer Horwitz bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +198 / -269 | 32% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%50/218 | 15%4/27 | 24%46/191 | 0.9 |
| Spencer Horwitz bats L · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 9%20/218 | 4%1/27 | 10%19/191 | 0.11 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -260 / +198 | 68% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 72%170/235 | 68%44/65 | 74%126/170 | 1.15 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/235 | 2%1/65 | 2%3/170 | 0.02 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -232 / +172 | 66% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 65%276/424 | 58%70/120 | 68%206/304 | 0.99 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%2/424 | 0%0/120 | 1%2/304 | 0.13 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +121 / -160 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 44%185/424 | 37%44/120 | 46%141/304 | 1.69 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +165 / -208 | 36% | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 15%11/74 | 7%1/14 | 17%10/60 | 0.64 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/74 | 0%0/14 | 0%0/60 | 0.05 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -103 / -125 | 48% | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 22%16/74 | 21%3/14 | 22%13/60 | 0.92 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -223 / +165 | 65% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%85/152 | 48%39/81 | 65%46/71 | 0.71 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/152 | 0%0/81 | 0%0/71 | 0.03 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +131 / -170 | 41% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 22%33/152 | 19%15/81 | 25%18/71 | 0.94 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -224 / +167 | 65% | 80%8/10 | 85%17/20 | 72%64/89 | 78%14/18 | 70%50/71 | 1.08 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +7000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/89 | 0%0/18 | 0%0/71 | 0.1 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -159 | 40% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 46%41/89 | 44%8/18 | 46%33/71 | 1.8 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -216 / +160 | 64% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%106/212 | 47%15/32 | 51%91/180 | 0.69 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/212 | 0%0/32 | 1%2/180 | 0.12 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -154 | 42% | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 27%57/212 | 13%4/32 | 29%53/180 | 1.19 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -192 / +144 | 62% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%59/110 | 49%17/35 | 56%42/75 | 0.79 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/110 | 0%0/35 | 1%1/75 | 0.12 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -190 | 38% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 31%34/110 | 26%9/35 | 33%25/75 | 1.32 |
| Jacob Young bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -156 / +117 | 57% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 59%163/277 | 57%51/90 | 60%112/187 | 0.8 |
| Jacob Young bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 2%5/277 | 2%2/90 | 2%3/187 | 0.02 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +168 | 65% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 64%149/232 | 69%50/72 | 62%99/160 | 1 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +265 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 16%36/232 | 14%10/72 | 16%26/160 | 0.17 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +110 / -137 | 45% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%89/232 | 35%25/72 | 40%64/160 | 1.77 |
| Jhonny Pereda bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -144 / +108 | 55% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%20/40 | 43%6/14 | 54%14/26 | 0.65 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +164 / -221 | 35% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 30%130/435 | 28%35/123 | 30%95/312 | 1.06 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 15%67/435 | 11%14/123 | 17%53/312 | 0.16 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -104 / -125 | 48% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 44%191/435 | 41%51/123 | 45%140/312 | 1.76 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +131 / -175 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 32%150/467 | 32%41/127 | 32%109/340 | 1.11 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%6/467 | 0%0/127 | 2%6/340 | 0.19 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -139 / +110 | 55% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 45%211/467 | 44%56/127 | 46%155/340 | 1.89 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -168 / +126 | 59% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 63%206/327 | 62%51/82 | 63%155/245 | 0.93 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 9%31/327 | 7%6/82 | 10%25/245 | 0.1 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -236 / +174 | 66% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 50%161/320 | 49%19/39 | 51%142/281 | 0.7 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2200 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/320 | 0%0/39 | 1%2/281 | 0.14 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +107 / -135 | 46% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 33%105/320 | 26%10/39 | 34%95/281 | 1.31 |
| Miles Mastrobuoni bats L · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/172 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/152 | 0.01 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -126 / -106 | 52% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 39%24/62 | 38%10/26 | 39%14/36 | 0.55 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 5%3/62 | 4%1/26 | 6%2/36 | 0.06 |
| Patrick Wisdom bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -138 / +104 | 54% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 40%67/168 | 39%41/105 | 41%26/63 | 0.49 |
| Randy Arozarena bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +192 / -261 | 32% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 22%106/476 | 23%29/128 | 22%77/348 | 0.88 |
| Randy Arozarena bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%3/476 | 1%1/128 | 1%2/348 | 0.15 |
| Randy Arozarena bats R · SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +105 / -130 | 46% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%180/476 | 38%49/128 | 38%131/348 | 1.52 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Ashcraft MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | O 5.5 | -130 / +105 | 54% | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%2/26 | 2.7 |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA @ PIT · 6:40 PM ET | O 4.5 | -104 / -122 | 48% | 70%7/10 | 45%9/20 | 53%31/59 | 5 |
| Bryce Miller SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | O 4.5 | -125 / +100 | 53% | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 47%36/77 | 4.8 |
| Zack Littell SEA @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | O 3.5 | -104 / -123 | 48% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 54%49/91 | 3.9 |
The rest of the slate
13 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.