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Research · MLB props
Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell21+ · descriptive history vs a posted number · never a pick · hit rate vs the line + platoon split, not vs today's pitcher
| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +196 / -267 | 32% | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 24%95/393 | 34%38/113 | 20%57/280 | 0.96 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +109 / -144 | 45% | 10%1/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%147/393 | 44%50/113 | 35%97/280 | 1.53 |
| Andrew Benintendi bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -214 / +159 | 64% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 64%252/392 | 66%48/73 | 64%204/319 | 0.91 |
| Andrew Benintendi bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +124 / -166 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 35%138/392 | 38%28/73 | 34%110/319 | 1.45 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -214 / +159 | 64% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%68/122 | 57%28/49 | 55%40/73 | 0.77 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -181 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 31%38/122 | 37%18/49 | 27%20/73 | 1.19 |
| Chase Meidroth bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -219 / +162 | 64% | 40%4/10 | 70%14/20 | 69%81/117 | 66%23/35 | 71%58/82 | 0.97 |
| Chase Meidroth bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +154 / -207 | 37% | 0%0/10 | 20%4/20 | 29%34/117 | 23%8/35 | 32%26/82 | 1.23 |
| Colson Montgomery bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -205 / +170 | 64% | 100%10/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%46/70 | 71%12/17 | 64%34/53 | 0.87 |
| Colson Montgomery bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +121 / -161 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 30%6/20 | 41%29/70 | 41%7/17 | 42%22/53 | 1.93 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -258 / +190 | 68% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 67%311/463 | 68%87/128 | 67%224/335 | 1.05 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +107 / -142 | 45% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%203/463 | 35%45/128 | 47%158/335 | 1.88 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -158 / +119 | 57% | 30%3/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%123/205 | 57%26/46 | 61%97/159 | 0.87 |
| Kyle Teel bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -241 / +178 | 66% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 56%43/77 | 50%3/6 | 56%40/71 | 0.9 |
| Kyle Teel bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +117 / -156 | 43% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%25/77 | 17%1/6 | 34%24/71 | 1.35 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -188 / +140 | 61% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 56%201/360 | 62%52/84 | 54%149/276 | 0.81 |
| Miguel Vargas bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -265 / +195 | 68% | 90%9/10 | 60%12/20 | 51%147/288 | 45%50/111 | 55%97/177 | 0.69 |
| Miguel Vargas bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +103 / -137 | 46% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 31%88/288 | 26%29/111 | 33%59/177 | 1.21 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -260 / +191 | 68% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 62%299/479 | 62%84/136 | 63%215/343 | 0.94 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -102 / -130 | 47% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%212/479 | 40%54/136 | 46%158/343 | 1.91 |
| Samuel Basallo bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -193 / +144 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 52%16/31 | 25%1/4 | 56%15/27 | 0.58 |
| Samuel Basallo bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +143 / -191 | 39% | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 29%9/31 | 25%1/4 | 30%8/27 | 1.16 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +202 / -276 | 31% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 22%90/409 | 22%21/97 | 22%69/312 | 0.89 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +106 / -141 | 45% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%169/409 | 42%41/97 | 41%128/312 | 1.65 |
| Tristan Peters bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -205 / +153 | 63% | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/1 | 0%0/3 | 0 |
| Tristan Peters bats L · CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +137 / -182 | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/1 | 0%0/3 | 0 |
| Alejandro Osuna bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +117 | 57% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 52%29/56 | 33%1/3 | 53%28/53 | 0.57 |
| Alejandro Osuna bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%2/56 | 0%0/3 | 4%2/53 | 0.04 |
| Austin Hedges bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 4%8/190 | 6%5/86 | 3%3/104 | 0.04 |
| Brayan Rocchio bats S · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 6%15/271 | 7%6/84 | 5%9/187 | 0.06 |
| David Fry bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%28/240 | 11%16/152 | 14%12/88 | 0.12 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -113 / -117 | 50% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%80/144 | 44%7/16 | 57%73/128 | 0.78 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%16/144 | 6%1/16 | 12%15/128 | 0.11 |
| Evan Carter bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%80/144 | 44%7/16 | 57%73/128 | 1.38 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -204 / +152 | 63% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 55%155/284 | 51%59/116 | 57%96/168 | 0.79 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%17/284 | 5%6/116 | 7%11/168 | 0.06 |
| Ezequiel Duran bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +150 / -182 | 38% | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 30%85/284 | 30%35/116 | 30%50/168 | 1.15 |
| Gabriel Arias bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 9%24/273 | 10%10/100 | 8%14/173 | 0.09 |
| Jake Burger bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -216 / +160 | 64% | 30%3/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%235/378 | 60%74/124 | 63%161/254 | 0.91 |
| Jake Burger bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%7/378 | 2%3/124 | 2%4/254 | 0.21 |
| Jake Burger bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +122 / -157 | 42% | 0%0/10 | 25%5/20 | 40%153/378 | 33%41/124 | 44%112/254 | 1.72 |
| Josh Jung bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +190 / -257 | 32% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 26%83/314 | 29%25/86 | 25%58/228 | 1 |
| Josh Jung bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%5/314 | 2%2/86 | 1%3/228 | 0.15 |
| Josh Jung bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -143 | 44% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%118/314 | 47%40/86 | 34%78/228 | 1.66 |
| Justin Foscue bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -179 / +134 | 60% | 10%1/10 | 16%3/19 | 16%3/19 | 17%2/12 | 14%1/7 | 0.16 |
| Justin Foscue bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/19 | 0%0/19 | 0%0/12 | 0%0/7 | 0 |
| Kyle Higashioka bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -158 / +119 | 57% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 54%139/259 | 51%44/87 | 55%95/172 | 0.73 |
| Kyle Higashioka bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 15%39/259 | 14%12/87 | 16%27/172 | 0.16 |
| Nicky Lopez bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -161 / +121 | 58% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 50%106/210 | 39%9/23 | 52%97/187 | 0.71 |
| Nicky Lopez bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/210 | 0%0/23 | 1%2/187 | 0.01 |
| Rhys Hoskins bats R · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 17%37/223 | 12%9/73 | 19%28/150 | 0.17 |
| Steven Kwan bats L · TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%29/435 | 5%7/128 | 7%22/307 | 0.07 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer CWS @ BAL · 12:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | +104 / -133 | 46% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%33/88 | 4.8 |
| MacKenzie Gore TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | O 5.5 | -160 / +120 | 58% | 20%2/10 | 40%8/20 | 54%48/89 | 5.8 |
| Joey Cantillo TEX @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | O 5.5 | -108 / -118 | 49% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 19%9/47 | 3.4 |
The rest of the slate
12 more games of graded props · members onlyDET @ NYY
1:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
WSH @ BOS
1:35 PM ET · Fenway Park
SD @ CHC
2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
NYM @ TOR
3:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
PIT @ PHI
6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
STL @ ATL
7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
TB @ KC
7:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
CIN @ MIL
8:10 PM ET · American Family Field
MIN @ HOU
8:10 PM ET · Daikin Park
MIA @ COL
8:40 PM ET · Coors Field
LAD @ ATH
9:40 PM ET · Sutter Health Park
SF @ AZ
9:40 PM ET · Chase Field
How to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.