Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -203 / +152 | 63% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 65%226/347 | 65%40/62 | 65%186/285 | 0.9 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +350 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 21%72/347 | 23%14/62 | 20%58/285 | 0.21 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +116 / -150 | 43% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 39%137/347 | 39%24/62 | 40%113/285 | 1.7 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -247 / +182 | 67% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%308/451 | 71%84/119 | 67%224/332 | 1.03 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%59/451 | 11%13/119 | 14%46/332 | 0.14 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -159 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%185/451 | 44%52/119 | 40%133/332 | 1.73 |
| Henry Davis bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -118 / -112 | 51% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%78/176 | 49%24/49 | 43%54/127 | 0.6 |
| Henry Davis bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%14/176 | 8%4/49 | 8%10/127 | 0.09 |
| Heriberto Hernandez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -158 / +119 | 57% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 55%47/86 | 52%23/44 | 57%24/42 | 0.79 |
| Heriberto Hernandez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%10/86 | 11%5/44 | 12%5/42 | 0.12 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -221 / +164 | 65% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 66%77/116 | 60%26/43 | 70%51/73 | 1.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 3%3/116 | 2%1/43 | 3%2/73 | 0.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +155 / -213 | 37% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%37/116 | 26%11/43 | 36%26/73 | 1.28 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -122 / -109 | 51% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%37/54 | 65%11/17 | 70%26/37 | 1.13 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%4/54 | 6%1/17 | 8%3/37 | 0.09 |
| Jared Triolo bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -123 / -107 | 52% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 58%156/270 | 57%51/90 | 58%105/180 | 0.79 |
| Jared Triolo bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 7%19/270 | 3%3/90 | 9%16/180 | 0.07 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +117 | 57% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%62/124 | 48%30/62 | 52%32/62 | 0.68 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/124 | 5%3/62 | 3%2/62 | 0.05 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -147 / +110 | 56% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%109/189 | 50%15/30 | 59%94/159 | 0.83 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%5/189 | 0%0/30 | 3%5/159 | 0.15 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -195 / +146 | 62% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%61/119 | 20%3/15 | 56%58/104 | 0.69 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%6/119 | 0%0/15 | 6%6/104 | 0.05 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -234 / +174 | 66% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 67%149/221 | 60%36/60 | 70%113/161 | 1 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%14/221 | 10%6/60 | 5%8/161 | 0.06 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -190 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 41%90/221 | 43%26/60 | 40%64/161 | 1.45 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -247 / +183 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%172/254 | 60%52/87 | 72%120/167 | 0.96 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%20/254 | 3%3/87 | 10%17/167 | 0.08 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -162 | 39% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 34%87/254 | 30%26/87 | 37%61/167 | 1.39 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -103 / -129 | 47% | 30%3/10 | 27%3/11 | 27%3/11 | ·n=0 | 27%3/11 | 0.45 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 9%1/11 | 9%1/11 | ·n=0 | 9%1/11 | 0.09 |
| Spencer Horwitz bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -228 / +169 | 65% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 61%133/218 | 59%16/27 | 61%117/191 | 0.9 |
| Spencer Horwitz bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 9%20/218 | 4%1/27 | 10%19/191 | 0.11 |
| Spencer Horwitz bats L · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -173 | 40% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 37%80/218 | 30%8/27 | 38%72/191 | 1.44 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -197 / +160 | 63% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 72%170/235 | 68%44/65 | 74%126/170 | 1.15 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/235 | 2%1/65 | 2%3/170 | 0.02 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -241 / +178 | 66% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 65%276/424 | 58%70/120 | 68%206/304 | 0.99 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +350 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%55/424 | 12%14/120 | 13%41/304 | 0.13 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +106 / -135 | 45% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 44%185/424 | 37%44/120 | 46%141/304 | 1.69 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +162 / -218 | 36% | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 15%11/74 | 7%1/14 | 17%10/60 | 0.64 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%4/74 | 7%1/14 | 5%3/60 | 0.05 |
| Cole Young bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +100 / -130 | 47% | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 22%16/74 | 21%3/14 | 22%13/60 | 0.92 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -232 / +172 | 66% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%85/152 | 48%39/81 | 65%46/71 | 0.71 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%5/152 | 1%1/81 | 6%4/71 | 0.03 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -165 | 42% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 22%33/152 | 19%15/81 | 25%18/71 | 0.94 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -248 / +183 | 67% | 80%8/10 | 85%17/20 | 72%64/89 | 78%14/18 | 70%50/71 | 1.08 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 10%9/89 | 17%3/18 | 8%6/71 | 0.1 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -150 | 43% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 46%41/89 | 44%8/18 | 46%33/71 | 1.8 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -268 / +197 | 68% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%106/212 | 47%15/32 | 51%91/180 | 0.69 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/212 | 0%0/32 | 1%2/180 | 0.12 |
| Dominic Canzone bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +105 / -129 | 46% | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 27%57/212 | 13%4/32 | 29%53/180 | 1.19 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -208 / +155 | 63% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%59/110 | 49%17/35 | 56%42/75 | 0.79 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 11%12/110 | 9%3/35 | 12%9/75 | 0.12 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -182 | 39% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 31%34/110 | 26%9/35 | 33%25/75 | 1.32 |
| Jacob Young bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -166 / +125 | 58% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 59%163/277 | 57%51/90 | 60%112/187 | 0.8 |
| Jacob Young bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 2%5/277 | 2%2/90 | 2%3/187 | 0.02 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -211 / +157 | 64% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 64%149/232 | 69%50/72 | 62%99/160 | 1 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +290 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 16%36/232 | 14%10/72 | 16%26/160 | 0.17 |
| James Wood bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -145 | 43% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%89/232 | 35%25/72 | 40%64/160 | 1.77 |
| Jhonny Pereda bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -224 / +166 | 65% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%20/40 | 43%6/14 | 54%14/26 | 0.65 |
| Jhonny Pereda bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/40 | 0%0/14 | 0%0/26 | 0 |
| Jhonny Pereda bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +131 / -170 | 41% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%9/40 | 29%4/14 | 19%5/26 | 0.8 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +142 / -190 | 39% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 30%130/435 | 28%35/123 | 30%95/312 | 1.06 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +390 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 15%67/435 | 11%14/123 | 17%53/312 | 0.16 |
| Josh Naylor bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -115 / -113 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 44%191/435 | 41%51/123 | 45%140/312 | 1.76 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +129 / -173 | 41% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 32%150/467 | 32%41/127 | 32%109/340 | 1.11 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +305 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 18%82/467 | 18%23/127 | 17%59/340 | 0.19 |
| Julio Rodriguez bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -135 / +112 | 55% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 45%211/467 | 44%56/127 | 46%155/340 | 1.89 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -181 / +136 | 60% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 63%206/327 | 62%51/82 | 63%155/245 | 0.93 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +7000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/327 | 0%0/82 | 1%2/245 | 0.1 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -238 / +176 | 66% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 50%161/320 | 49%19/39 | 51%142/281 | 0.7 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +290 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 13%43/320 | 18%7/39 | 13%36/281 | 0.14 |
| Luke Raley bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +105 / -135 | 46% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 33%105/320 | 26%10/39 | 34%95/281 | 1.31 |
| Miles Mastrobuoni bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -174 / +130 | 59% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 37%63/172 | 40%8/20 | 36%55/152 | 0.52 |
| Miles Mastrobuoni bats L · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/172 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/152 | 0.01 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -134 / +110 | 54% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 39%24/62 | 38%10/26 | 39%14/36 | 0.55 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 5%3/62 | 4%1/26 | 6%2/36 | 0.06 |
| Victor Robles bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -228 / +169 | 65% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 57%89/155 | 58%39/67 | 57%50/88 | 0.9 |
| Victor Robles bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 3%5/155 | 3%2/67 | 3%3/88 | 0.03 |
| Victor Robles bats R · SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -176 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 39%61/155 | 39%26/67 | 40%35/88 | 1.22 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes MIA @ PIT · 12:15 PM ET | O 6.5 | -124 / +100 | 53% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 62%34/55 | 7 |
| Emerson Hancock SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | O 4.5 | +104 / -136 | 46% | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 18%7/39 | 2.9 |
| Miles Mikolas SEA @ WSH · 1:35 PM ET | O 3.5 | +122 / -160 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 49%48/98 | 3.7 |
The rest of the slate
12 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.