Statcast research · Wed, Jul 29, 2026
The arsenal behind the K line
Every probable starter on the slate, broken down to the pitch. Mix, velocity, and
whiff rate from Statcast (2023 to 2025), set next to the current strikeout prop so
you can see what is driving the number. Research depth, not a play.
12Arsenals
68.1kPitches mapped
23.7%Avg whiff
12K lines live
Cam Schlittler
NYY · NYY @ CWS R
6.5Ks o +250
Strikeout prop
betrivers
21.5 Whiff %
2.07ERA
157Season K
0.9WHIP
Pitch mix 1.4k pitches
Four-seam 98.1 mph 55%
Cutter 92.3 mph 21%
Curveball 83.3 mph 15%
Sinker 97.9 mph 8%
Sweeper 87.9 mph 2%
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · PHI @ MIA L
6.5Ks o +123
Strikeout prop
draftkings
28.8 Whiff %
3.31ERA
152Season K
1.2WHIP
Pitch mix 7.3k pitches
Four-seam 96.4 mph 37%
Changeup 87.8 mph 20%
Slider 85.0 mph 19%
Sweeper 86.1 mph 14%
Sinker 95.9 mph 10%
Chris Sale
ATL · ATL @ NYM L
8.5Ks o -120
Strikeout prop
fanatics
28.0 Whiff %
2.19ERA
134Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 6.5k pitches
Slider 78.6 mph 42%
Four-seam 94.6 mph 41%
Changeup 86.7 mph 12%
Sinker 93.7 mph 6%
Joe Ryan
MIN · KC @ MIN R
5.5Ks o -140
Strikeout prop
fanatics
24.5 Whiff %
3.38ERA
131Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 7.6k pitches
Four-seam 93.2 mph 52%
Splitter 86.1 mph 20%
Sweeper 80.5 mph 14%
Slider 86.8 mph 7%
Sinker 93.1 mph 6%
MacKenzie Gore
TEX · TEX @ TB L
5.5Ks o +155
Strikeout prop
betrivers
25.8 Whiff %
4.82ERA
127Season K
1.3WHIP
Pitch mix 8.3k pitches
Four-seam 95.4 mph 55%
Curveball 82.4 mph 21%
Slider 87.7 mph 10%
Changeup 86.1 mph 8%
Cutter 90.9 mph 7%
Joey Cantillo
CLE · CLE @ CIN L
6.5Ks o +200
Strikeout prop
betrivers
28.3 Whiff %
4.02ERA
116Season K
1.5WHIP
Pitch mix 2.4k pitches
Four-seam 91.9 mph 44%
Changeup 78.2 mph 30%
Curveball 77.0 mph 18%
Slider 84.4 mph 9%
Tarik Skubal
DET · BAL @ DET L
9.5Ks o +110
Strikeout prop
fanatics
29.7 Whiff %
2.70ERA
110Season K
0.9WHIP
Pitch mix 7.5k pitches
Four-seam 97.0 mph 32%
Changeup 86.9 mph 28%
Sinker 96.9 mph 21%
Slider 89.1 mph 15%
Curveball 78.7 mph 4%
Dustin May
STL · CHC @ STL R
5.5Ks o +122
Strikeout prop
fanduel
16.7 Whiff %
4.59ERA
103Season K
1.3WHIP
Pitch mix 2.9k pitches
Sinker 95.1 mph 33%
Sweeper 85.2 mph 31%
Four-seam 96.1 mph 19%
Cutter 91.9 mph 11%
Slider 86.8 mph 3%
Davis Martin
CWS · NYY @ CWS R
4.5Ks o +123
Strikeout prop
betrivers
20.9 Whiff %
3.49ERA
100Season K
1.3WHIP
Pitch mix 3.2k pitches
Four-seam 93.9 mph 32%
Changeup 89.9 mph 23%
Slider 88.3 mph 20%
Sweeper 83.5 mph 11%
Sinker 93.0 mph 8%
Emerson Hancock
SEA · SEA @ LAD R
2.5Ks o -102
Strikeout prop
betonlineag
18.4 Whiff %
3.16ERA
97Season K
1.0WHIP
Pitch mix 2.7k pitches
Sinker 94.1 mph 34%
Four-seam 94.1 mph 30%
Changeup 86.4 mph 20%
Slider 83.0 mph 12%
Cutter 86.3 mph 2%
Logan Webb
SF · MIL @ SF R
4.5Ks o -530
Strikeout prop
betrivers
20.2 Whiff %
3.98ERA
89Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 9.7k pitches
Sinker 92.5 mph 35%
Changeup 87.2 mph 32%
Sweeper 84.3 mph 23%
Four-seam 92.7 mph 6%
Cutter 91.0 mph 4%
Brady Singer
CIN · CLE @ CIN R
4.5Ks o -110
Strikeout prop
fanatics
22.1 Whiff %
4.53ERA
88Season K
1.4WHIP
Pitch mix 8.4k pitches
Sinker 92.2 mph 44%
Slider 83.2 mph 37%
Four-seam 91.5 mph 8%
Sweeper 81.8 mph 6%
Cutter 87.5 mph 3%
How to read this. Whiff rate is swinging strikes over total swings across the
pitcher's Statcast record (2023 to 2025), so it reflects how the arsenal actually misses bats, not a
single start. Velocity is the average release speed per pitch type. The strikeout line is the latest
captured number for that pitcher from the prop market. We pair the arsenal with the line so the K
number has a reason behind it. This is context to sharpen your own read, not a guaranteed outcome.
