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SD @ CHC
The Read · 18 angles tracked
4 → OVER on the total
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 4 independent angles point OVER · 3 the other way, shown not hidden. The sides also lean CHC (4).
4 → OVER · Totals · 3 vs4 → CHC · Sides · 1 vs6 Props angles · line-shop
Totals 4 → OVER
Wrigley Field went over 52% historically (n=284) 52% · n=284
Hot, 94.0° adds a little carry
CHC have gone over in 7 of their last 10
CHC have gone OVER in 7 of their last 10 70% · n=10
Sides 4 → CHC
CHC have won 8 of their last 10 (straight up)
CHC have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10
CHC are 6-4 at home over their last 10 home games 60% · n=10
SD are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games 40% · n=10
Props 6 · line-shop only
Matthew Boyd strikes out 23% of RHB (n=967 PA) 23% · n=967
Jackson Merrill has homered in 5 of his last 15 33% · n=15
Manny Machado has homered in 5 of his last 15 33% · n=15
Michael Busch has homered in 7 of his last 15 47% · n=15
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
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Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
92° Clear
Wind 17 mph SW (220°)
Dew point 73° · 54% humidity
Park · Wrigley Field
48.1% over
8.78 avg runs vs 8.3 closing · n=295 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Jeremie Rehak
SD · away · recent form
SD have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 n=10
SD are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10
CHC · home · recent form
CHC have gone over in 7 of their last 10
CHC have won 8 of their last 10 (straight up)
CHC have gone OVER in 7 of their last 10 n=10
CHC have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 n=10
CHC are 6-4 at home over their last 10 home games n=10
Matchup & handedness notes 3
Wrigley Field went over 52% historically (n=284) n=284
Matthew Boyd strikes out 23% of RHB (n=967 PA) n=967
Alex Bregman is 7-for-21, 2 HR career vs JP Sears n=21

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.
Away Confirmed as of Jun 30, 11:00 PM
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB 2B
  2. 2 Samad Taylor RHB LF
  3. 3 Manny Machado RHB 3B
  4. 4 Miguel Andujar RHB DH
  5. 5 Ty France RHB 1B
  6. 6 Jackson Merrill LHB CF
  7. 7 Xander Bogaerts RHB SS
  8. 8 Jase Bowen RHB RF
  9. 9 Freddy Fermin RHB C
Home Confirmed as of Jun 30, 11:00 PM
  1. 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB CF
  2. 2 Alex Bregman RHB 3B
  3. 3 Seiya Suzuki RHB DH
  4. 4 Carson Kelly RHB C
  5. 5 Michael Busch LHB 1B
  6. 6 Nico Hoerner RHB 2B
  7. 7 Ian Happ SWH LF
  8. 8 Dansby Swanson RHB SS
  9. 9 Kevin Alcántara RHB RF
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