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SD @ CHC
The Read · 34 angles tracked
5 → OVER on the total
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 5 independent angles point OVER. The sides also lean CHC (4).
5 → OVER · Totals4 → CHC · Sides · 1 vs24 Props angles · line-shop
Totals 5 → OVER
Wrigley Field went over 53% historically (n=291) 53% · n=291
Line moved: total climbed half a run (11.5 → 12.0) since open
Hot, 95.0° adds a little carry
CHC have gone over in 7 of their last 10
Sides 4 → CHC
CHC have won 8 of their last 10 (straight up)
CHC have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10
CHC are 6-4 at home over their last 10 home games 60% · n=10
SD are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games 40% · n=10
Props 24 · line-shop only
Colin Rea has gone UNDER 3.5 Ks in 6 of his last 10 starts 60% · n=10
Walker Buehler has gone UNDER 3.5 Ks in 6 of his last 10 starts 60% · n=10
Alex Bregman has a hit in 7 of his last 10 70% · n=10
Carson Kelly has a hit in 6 of his last 10 60% · n=10
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
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Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
92° Clear
Wind 14 mph SW (233°)
Dew point 70° · 49% humidity
Park · Wrigley Field
48.1% over
8.78 avg runs vs 8.3 closing · n=295 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Dan Iassogna
SD · away · recent form
SD have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 n=10
SD are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10
CHC · home · recent form
CHC have gone over in 7 of their last 10
CHC have won 8 of their last 10 (straight up)
CHC have gone OVER in 7 of their last 10 n=10
CHC have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 n=10
CHC are 6-4 at home over their last 10 home games n=10
Matchup & handedness notes 6
Wrigley Field went over 53% historically (n=291) n=291
Fernando Tatis Jr. is 3-for-11, 2 HR career vs Walker Buehler n=11
Manny Machado is 5-for-10 career vs Walker Buehler n=10
Jackson Merrill is 2-for-10 career vs Walker Buehler n=10
Nico Hoerner is 2-for-10 career vs Colin Rea n=10
Xander Bogaerts is 1-for-10 career vs Walker Buehler n=10

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.
Away Confirmed as of Jul 1, 11:00 PM
  1. 1 Jase Bowen RHB CF
  2. 2 Gavin Sheets LHB LF
  3. 3 Freddy Fermin RHB C
  4. 4 Ty France RHB 1B
  5. 5 Samad Taylor RHB RF
  6. 6 Miguel Andujar RHB 3B
  7. 7 Jake Cronenworth LHB 2B
  8. 8 Rodolfo Durán RHB P
  9. 9 Sung-Mun Song LHB SS
Home Confirmed as of Jul 1, 11:00 PM
  1. 1 Pedro Ramírez SWH 2B
  2. 2 Alex Bregman RHB 3B
  3. 3 Michael Busch LHB 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Wicks LHB P
  5. 5 Kevin Alcántara RHB LF
  6. 6 Justin Dean RHB CF
  7. 7 Michael Conforto LHB RF
  8. 8 Miguel Amaya RHB C
  9. 9 Dansby Swanson RHB SS
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