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CWS @ NYY
The Read The research is split on the total (1 over / 0 under), and leans NYY on the side (2 angles). Strongest: Yankee Stadium went over 52% historically (n=248). This is researched historical context to sharpen your own read — the market sees it too, so weigh it as input, not a settled edge.
↗ Share this read 4 active angles on this game · across every market
Moneyline 2
lean
NYYNYY have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)
lean
NYYNYY are 19-12 at home this season
Historical 61% · n=31
Total · Over / Under 2
lean
overYankee Stadium went over 52% historically (n=248)
Historical 52% · n=248
lean
Lowest total on today's board (7.5) — market context only
Line shopping — best available price per side · 11 books tracked · not a pick
Total (O/U) · under Best: 7.5 +107 @ lowvig −8.8% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 14.5 (median across 11 books)
14.5-5000 betmgm 7.5+105 betonlineag 13.5-127 betrivers 7.5+105 betus 14.5-800 bovada 14.5-7800 draftkings 14.5+100 fanatics 14.5-3500 fanduel 7.5+107 lowvig 16-133 mybookieag 14.5-6000 williamhill_us
Total (O/U) · over Best: 14.5 +1800 @ williamhill_us −46% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 14.5 (median across 11 books)
14.5+1150 betmgm 7.5-125 betonlineag 13.5-110 betrivers 7.5-125 betus 14.5+475 bovada 14.5+1200 draftkings 14.5-130 fanatics 14.5+920 fanduel 7.5-123 lowvig 16-105 mybookieag 14.5+1800 williamhill_us
First 5 (F5) · over Best: 12.5 +140 @ betmgm −12.9% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 6.5 (median across 7 books)
12.5+140 betmgm 4-120 betonlineag 4-120 betus 7-120 bovada 13.5+126 fanduel 4-121 mybookieag 6.5-184 williamhill_us
First 5 (F5) · under Best: 6.5 +133 @ williamhill_us −9.5% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 6.5 (median across 7 books)
12.5-180 betmgm 4+100 betonlineag 4-110 betus 7-110 bovada 13.5-168 fanduel 4-101 mybookieag 6.5+133 williamhill_us
Run line · away Best: 9.5 +1400 @ williamhill_us −48.9% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 9.5 (median across 11 books)
9.5+1150 betmgm 1.5-170 betonlineag 9.5+425 betrivers 1.5-170 betus 9-185 bovada 9.5+1200 draftkings 9.5-205 fanatics 9.5+920 fanduel 1.5-170 lowvig 9.5-125 mybookieag 9.5+1400 williamhill_us
Run line · home Best: -9.5 +155 @ fanatics −13.4% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: -9.5 (median across 11 books)
-9.5-5000 betmgm -1.5+149 betonlineag -9.5-5000 betrivers -1.5+148 betus -9+140 bovada -9.5-7800 draftkings -9.5+155 fanatics -9.5-3500 fanduel -1.5+150 lowvig -9.5-111 mybookieag -9.5-5000 williamhill_us
Line shopping is market-neutral — no prediction implied. The best price reduces the vig you pay, regardless of outcome. Pregame prices captured at/before first pitch.
Research display — lines across books, not a pick. Best price highlighted per side. Line shopping reduces vig; no outcome is implied.
Andrew Benintendi
Hits
over Best 0.5-160draftkings
under Best 0.5+120draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+390williamhill_us
Ben Rice
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+110bovada 1.5+111draftkings 1.5+102williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-145bovada 1.5-147draftkings 1.5-136williamhill_us −1.6% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-229draftkings
under Best 0.5+170draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+305williamhill_us
Braden Montgomery
Hits
over Best 0.5-171draftkings
under Best 0.5+128draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+525williamhill_us
Chase Meidroth
Hits
over Best 0.5-200draftkings
under Best 0.5+149draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+950williamhill_us
Cody Bellinger
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+135bovada 1.5+134draftkings 1.5+120fanatics 1.5+124williamhill_us −1.1% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-180bovada 1.5-178draftkings 1.5-160fanatics 1.5-170williamhill_us −2% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-210draftkings
under Best 0.5+156draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+475williamhill_us
Colson Montgomery
Hits
over Best 0.5-161draftkings 0.5-160fanatics consensus 0.5
under Best 0.5+121draftkings 0.5+120fanatics consensus 0.5
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+305williamhill_us
Davis Martin
Strikeouts
over Best 5.5+100bovada 5.5-108draftkings 5.5+100fanatics 5.5+102fanduel −0.5% implied prob vs median consensus 5.5
under Best 5.5-130bovada 5.5-118draftkings 5.5-130fanatics 5.5-124fanduel −1.8% implied prob vs median consensus 5.5
Drew Romo
Hits
over Best 0.5-119draftkings
under Best 0.5-111draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
Gerrit Cole
Strikeouts
over Best 5.5-135bovada 5.5-120draftkings 5.5-132fanduel −2.4% implied prob vs median consensus 5.5
under Best 5.5+105bovada 5.5-106draftkings 5.5+108fanduel −0.7% implied prob vs median consensus 5.5
J.C. Escarra
Hits
over Best 0.5-111draftkings
under Best 0.5-120draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
Jacob Gonzalez
Hits
over Best 0.5-122draftkings
under Best 0.5-108draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+625williamhill_us
Jasson Domínguez
Hits
over Best 0.5-182draftkings
under Best 0.5+136draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+525williamhill_us
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Hits
over Best 0.5-165draftkings
under Best 0.5+124draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+425williamhill_us
Jose Caballero
Hits
over Best 0.5-141draftkings
under Best 0.5+106draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+850williamhill_us
Miguel Vargas
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+135bovada 1.5+132draftkings 1.5+124williamhill_us −0.6% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-180bovada 1.5-176draftkings 1.5-170williamhill_us −0.8% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-184draftkings
under Best 0.5+138draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+370williamhill_us
Paul Goldschmidt
Hits
over Best 0.5-179draftkings
under Best 0.5+134draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+575williamhill_us
Ryan McMahon
Hits
over Best 0.5-122draftkings
under Best 0.5-108draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+500williamhill_us
Sam Antonacci
Hits
over Best 0.5-195draftkings
under Best 0.5+145draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
Spencer Jones
Hits
over Best 0.5-144draftkings
under Best 0.5+108draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+500williamhill_us
Tristan Peters
Hits
over Best 0.5-134draftkings
under Best 0.5+101draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
The research behind this read
Every angle on this game is a historical pattern measured against ~20 books, with its real sample size shown — never a win probability. 4 angles cleared our bar for this matchup, the strongest on n=248.
We backtest every idea out-of-sample and publish the ones that fail, not just the ones that work — that filter is what makes a surviving signal worth your attention.
Every angle gets logged and tested — the misses too. See the full test-and-reject record in The Lab →