Game 823277 · Edge Labs

← Slate · Game detail

AZ @ SD

The Read · 30 angles tracked

5 → UNDER on the total

The board's strongest convergence on this game · 5 independent angles point UNDER · 1 the other way, shown not hidden. The sides also lean AZ (2).

5 → UNDER · Totals · 1 vs2 → AZ · Sides · 2 vs20 Props angles · line-shop

Totals 5 → UNDER

SD games go UNDER 57% in night games (n=407) 57% · n=407

Petco Park went under 52% historically (n=291) 52% · n=291

SD have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

AZ have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

Sides 2 → AZ

SD have lost 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

AZ have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 40% · n=10

Props 20 · line-shop only

Griffin Canning strikes out 21% of LHB (n=817 PA) 21% · n=817

Merrill Kelly strikes out 22% of LHB (n=968 PA) 22% · n=968

Corbin Carroll has a hit in 8 of his last 10 80% · n=10

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a hit in 8 of his last 10 80% · n=10

Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.

Game context · weather, park, and the plate

Weather

69° Partially cloudy

Wind 5 mph SW (220°)

Dew point 62° · 78% humidity

Park · Petco Park

45.5% over

8.13 avg runs vs 7.96 closing · n=292 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.

Home plate umpire

Will Little

See this umpire's totals tendencies →

AZ · away · recent form

SD have lost 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

AZ have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

AZ have gone UNDER in 13 of their last 20 n=20

AZ have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 n=10

AZ are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10

SD · home · recent form

SD have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

SD are 7-3 at home over their last 10 home games n=10

Matchup & handedness notes 8

Petco Park went under 52% historically (n=291) n=291

Griffin Canning strikes out 21% of LHB (n=817 PA) n=817

Merrill Kelly strikes out 22% of LHB (n=968 PA) n=968

Fernando Tatis Jr. is 4-for-15, 1 HR career vs Merrill Kelly n=15

Jake Cronenworth is 1-for-11, 1 HR career vs Merrill Kelly n=11

Manny Machado is 2-for-12, 1 HR career vs Merrill Kelly n=12

Nolan Arenado is 0-for-12 career vs Merrill Kelly n=12

Xander Bogaerts is 2-for-14 career vs Merrill Kelly n=14

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.

Away Confirmed as of Jul 9, 11:00 PM

1 Ketel Marte SWH 2B
2 Geraldo Perdomo SWH SS
3 Corbin Carroll LHB RF
4 Gabriel Moreno RHB C
5 Max Kepler LHB DH
6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB LF
7 Nolan Arenado RHB 3B
8 Tommy Troy RHB CF
9 Tim Tawa RHB 1B

Home Confirmed as of Jul 9, 11:00 PM

1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB RF
2 Jackson Merrill LHB CF
3 Xander Bogaerts RHB SS
4 Manny Machado RHB 3B
5 Gavin Sheets LHB LF
6 Jake Cronenworth LHB 1B
7 Luis Campusano RHB C
8 Miguel Andujar RHB DH
9 Sung-Mun Song LHB 2B

Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend →

Members

Unlock the pitching read

Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the market read

Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the props read

Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in