The Read · 29 angles tracked 4 → TOR on the side
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 4 independent angles point TOR · 2 the other way, shown not hidden.
The totals also lean OVER (3).
4 → TOR · Sides · 2 vs3 → OVER · Totals · 1 vs19 Props angles · line-shop
Sides 4 → TOR
NYM are 16-26 on the road this season 38% · n=42
NYM have lost 9 of their last 10 (straight up)
TOR have covered the run line in 3 of their last 10 30% · n=10
NYM are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games 40% · n=10
Totals 3 → OVER
Rogers Centre went over 55% historically (n=293) 55% · n=293
Hot, 91.0° adds a little carry
TOR have gone OVER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10
Props 19 · line-shop only
Nolan McLean has gone OVER 5.5 Ks in 7 of his last 8 starts 88% · n=8
Kevin Gausman strikes out 24% of LHB (n=1186 PA) 24% · n=1186
Alejandro Kirk has a hit in 7 of his last 10 70% · n=10
Bo Bichette has a hit in 8 of his last 10 80% · n=10
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
↗ Share this read Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
78° Partially cloudy
Wind 10 mph SSW (210°)
Dew point 69° · 74% humidity
Park · Rogers Centre
50.3% over
8.87 avg runs vs 8.29 closing · n=302 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Sean Barber
Lineups
Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable. Away Confirmed as of Jun 30, 11:00 PM
- 1 Carson Benge LHB RF
- 2 Juan Soto LHB LF
- 3 Bo Bichette RHB 3B
- 4 Francisco Lindor SWH SS
- 5 Jared Young LHB 1B
- 6 A.J. Ewing LHB CF
- 7 Francisco Alvarez RHB DH
- 8 Brett Baty LHB 2B
- 9 Luis Torrens RHB C
Home Confirmed as of Jun 30, 11:00 PM
- 1 George Springer RHB DH
- 2 Nathan Lukes LHB RF
- 3 Alejandro Kirk RHB C
- 4 Sean Keys LHB 1B
- 5 Ernie Clement RHB 3B
- 6 Daulton Varsho LHB CF
- 7 Luis Urías RHB 2B
- 8 Yohendrick Piñango LHB LF
- 9 Andrés Giménez LHB SS
Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend → Members
Unlock the pitching read
Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.
Members
Unlock the market read
Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.
Members
Unlock the props read
Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.
