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KC @ WSH
The Read The research is split on the total (1 over / 0 under), and leans WSH on the side (2 angles). Strongest: Nationals Park went over 54% historically (n=239). This is researched historical context to sharpen your own read — the market sees it too, so weigh it as input, not a settled edge.
↗ Share this read 3 active angles on this game · across every market
Moneyline 2
lean
WSHWSH have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)
lean
WSHKC are 12-23 on the road this season
Historical 34% · n=35
Total · Over / Under 1
moderate
overNationals Park went over 54% historically (n=239)
Historical 54% · n=239
Line shopping — best available price per side · 11 books tracked · not a pick
Total (O/U) · over Best: 10.5 +1400 @ fanduel −37.2% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 9.5 (median across 11 books)
10.5+950 betmgm 8.5-120 betonlineag 10.5+135 betrivers 8.5-120 betus 9.5+210 bovada 10.5+128 draftkings 10.5+150 fanatics 10.5+1400 fanduel 8.5-118 lowvig 9.5-105 mybookieag 9.5+110 williamhill_us
Total (O/U) · under Best: 8.5 +103 @ lowvig −13.4% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 9.5 (median across 11 books)
10.5-2500 betmgm 8.5+100 betonlineag 10.5-215 betrivers 8.5+100 betus 9.5-285 bovada 10.5-168 draftkings 10.5-200 fanatics 10.5-8000 fanduel 8.5+103 lowvig 9.5-133 mybookieag 9.5-140 williamhill_us
First 5 (F5) · over Best: 3.5 +120 @ williamhill_us −9.1% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 3.5 (median across 7 books)
2.5+110 betmgm 4.5-120 betonlineag 4.5-120 betus 3-135 bovada 2.5-128 fanduel 4.5-118 mybookieag 3.5+120 williamhill_us
First 5 (F5) · under Best: 3 +105 @ bovada −2.2% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 3.5 (median across 7 books)
2.5-150 betmgm 4.5+100 betonlineag 4.5-110 betus 3+105 bovada 2.5-104 fanduel 4.5-103 mybookieag 3.5-166 williamhill_us
Run line · home Best: -1.5 +142 @ lowvig −26.4% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: -1.5 (median across 11 books)
-1.5-2500 betmgm -1.5+141 betonlineag -1.5-210 betrivers -1.5+140 betus -3+135 bovada -1.5-173 draftkings -2.5-300 fanatics -2.5-310 fanduel -1.5+142 lowvig -2.5-333 mybookieag -1.5-2500 williamhill_us
Run line · away Best: 1.5 +1000 @ williamhill_us −31.7% implied prob vs median
Consensus line: 1.5 (median across 11 books)
1.5+950 betmgm 1.5-161 betonlineag 1.5+145 betrivers 1.5-160 betus 3-175 bovada 1.5+132 draftkings 2.5+215 fanatics 2.5+220 fanduel 1.5-161 lowvig 2.5+230 mybookieag 1.5+1000 williamhill_us
Line shopping is market-neutral — no prediction implied. The best price reduces the vig you pay, regardless of outcome. Pregame prices captured at/before first pitch.
Research display — lines across books, not a pick. Best price highlighted per side. Line shopping reduces vig; no outcome is implied.
Bobby Witt Jr.
Total Bases
over Best 1.5-130bovada 1.5-130draftkings 1.5-137williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5+100bovada 1.5-102draftkings 1.5+104williamhill_us −1% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 1.5+146draftkings
under Best 1.5-196draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+320williamhill_us
Carter Jensen
Hits
over Best 0.5-137draftkings
under Best 0.5+103draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
CJ Abrams
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+110bovada 1.5+111draftkings 1.5+108williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-145bovada 1.5-147draftkings 1.5-143williamhill_us −0.3% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-252draftkings
under Best 0.5+186draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+390williamhill_us
Curtis Mead
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+125bovada 1.5+126draftkings 1.5+122williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-165bovada 1.5-168draftkings 1.5-164williamhill_us consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-227draftkings
under Best 0.5+168draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+475williamhill_us
Daylen Lile
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+115bovada 1.5+113draftkings 1.5+110fanatics 1.5+108williamhill_us −0.8% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-150bovada 1.5-150draftkings 1.5-145fanatics 1.5-143williamhill_us −0.7% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-257draftkings
under Best 0.5+189draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+575williamhill_us
Drew Millas
Hits
over Best 0.5-139draftkings
under Best 0.5+104draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+1100williamhill_us
Dylan Crews
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+140bovada 1.5+137draftkings 1.5+126williamhill_us −0.5% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-185bovada 1.5-183draftkings 1.5-170williamhill_us −1.7% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-221draftkings
under Best 0.5+164draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+500williamhill_us
Foster Griffin
Strikeouts
over Best 4.5-165bovada 5.5+117draftkings 4.5-160fanduel −15.5% implied prob vs median consensus 4.5
under Best 4.5+125bovada 5.5-149draftkings 4.5+130fanduel −1% implied prob vs median consensus 4.5
Isaac Collins
Hits
over Best 0.5-144draftkings
under Best 0.5+109draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
Jac Caglianone
Hits
over Best 0.5-193draftkings
under Best 0.5+144draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+475williamhill_us
Jacob Young
Hits
over Best 0.5-177draftkings
under Best 0.5+133draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+1100williamhill_us
James Wood
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+105bovada 1.5+104draftkings 1.5-104williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-135bovada 1.5-138draftkings 1.5-129williamhill_us −1.1% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-231draftkings 0.5-245fanatics −0.6% implied prob vs median consensus 0.5
under Best 0.5+171draftkings 0.5+180fanatics −0.6% implied prob vs median consensus 0.5
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+255williamhill_us
Jorbit Vivas
Hits
over Best 0.5-145draftkings
under Best 0.5+109draftkings
Lane Thomas
Hits
over Best 0.5-182draftkings
under Best 0.5+137draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+625williamhill_us
Luis Garcia Jr.
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+110bovada 1.5+107draftkings 1.5+104williamhill_us −0.7% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-145bovada 1.5-141draftkings 1.5-139williamhill_us −0.3% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 1.5+191draftkings
under Best 1.5-259draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+475williamhill_us
Maikel Garcia
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+130bovada 1.5+131draftkings 1.5+119williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-170bovada 1.5-175draftkings 1.5-159williamhill_us −1.6% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-258draftkings
under Best 0.5+190draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+750williamhill_us
Michael Wacha
Strikeouts
over Best 4.5+130bovada 4.5+107draftkings 4.5+125fanatics 4.5+134fanduel −1.2% implied prob vs median consensus 4.5
under Best 4.5-170bovada 4.5-136draftkings 4.5-165fanatics 4.5-164fanduel −4.6% implied prob vs median consensus 4.5
Nasim Nunez
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+1300williamhill_us
Nick Loftin
Hits
over Best 0.5-144draftkings
under Best 0.5+109draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+950williamhill_us
Salvador Perez
Total Bases
over Best 1.5+135bovada 1.5+136draftkings 1.5+125williamhill_us consensus 1.5
under Best 1.5-180bovada 1.5-181draftkings 1.5-170williamhill_us −1.3% implied prob vs median consensus 1.5
Hits
over Best 0.5-202draftkings
under Best 0.5+150draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+425williamhill_us
Starling Marte
Hits
over Best 0.5-193draftkings
under Best 0.5+144draftkings
Home Runs
over Best 0.5+700williamhill_us
The research behind this read
Every angle on this game is a historical pattern measured against ~20 books, with its real sample size shown — never a win probability. 3 angles cleared our bar for this matchup, the strongest on n=239.
We backtest every idea out-of-sample and publish the ones that fail, not just the ones that work — that filter is what makes a surviving signal worth your attention.
Every angle gets logged and tested — the misses too. See the full test-and-reject record in The Lab →