Edge Labs EDGE LABS Market intelligence
MLB CFB NFL
EARLY SAMPLE n is small and not yet statistically meaningful. 52.4% is breakeven vs −110 vig. We have ZERO validated picks, not advice. The sample below is mostly a retroactive backtest (05-28→06-06, computed after the games) — backtests overstate real performance; genuine forward-tracking begins 2026-06-07. Wins AND losses shown equally; past frequency does not predict future results.

Track Record

Every lean from the scorecard, graded honestly — wins and losses, no omissions. The 2026-05-28→06-06 sample was computed retroactively (a backtest); from 2026-06-07 onward, leans are logged before first pitch and graded after.

59 Wins
56 Losses
·
9 Pending
50.4% Hit rate (117 graded)
20 Days tracked

Breakeven at −110 vig ≈ 52.4%. This sample is too small to draw conclusions.

By Agreement Strength

n_trends = number of independent angles pointing the same direction

AgreeWLnHit %
2 trends 3934 73 53.4%
3 trends 1619 35 45.7%
4+ trends 43 7 57.1%

By Market

Over/Under totals vs moneyline sides

MarketWLnHit %
Totals 3133 64 48.4%
Moneyline 2823 51 54.9%
43 hypothesises tested and rejected — every one public in The Lab. We publish what doesn't work, not just what does.

Full Log

Every lean, in order. No omissions.

2026-06-16
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
LAA @ AZ moneyline Home ML 2 PENDING
PIT @ ATH totals Under 10.5 3 PENDING
SF @ ATL moneyline Home ML 2 PENDING
TOR @ BOS totals Under 7.5 2 PENDING
COL @ CHC moneyline Home ML 2 PENDING
CWS @ NYY moneyline Home ML 2 PENDING
MIN @ TEX totals Under 8.5 3 PENDING
KC @ WSH moneyline Home ML 2 PENDING
2026-06-15
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
PIT @ ATH totals Under 10.5 3 13 LOSS
COL @ CHC moneyline Home ML 2 9 WIN
TB @ LAD totals Over 9 2 7 LOSS
MIN @ TEX totals Under 8 3 6 WIN
2026-06-14
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
COL @ ATH moneyline Home ML 2 32 LOSS
TEX @ BOS totals Under 9 3 10 LOSS
DET @ CLE totals Under 7.5 2 PENDING
HOU @ KC totals Under 8.5 3 4 WIN
STL @ MIN moneyline Away ML 2 9 LOSS
NYY @ TOR totals Over 8.5 2 11 WIN
SEA @ WSH totals Over 10 3 11 WIN
2026-06-13
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
TEX @ BOS totals Under 8 3 9 LOSS
LAD @ CWS totals Under 8 2 8 PENDING
SEA @ WSH totals Over 9 3 11 WIN
2026-06-12
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
TEX @ BOS moneyline Away ML 2 11 LOSS
TEX @ BOS totals Under 8.5 3 11 LOSS
HOU @ KC totals Under 9 2 18 LOSS
SEA @ WSH totals Over 9.5 4 12 WIN
2026-06-11
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
SEA @ BAL totals Over 8.5 3 12 WIN
TEX @ KC totals Under 10 2 6 WIN
AZ @ MIA moneyline Home ML 2 2 WIN
AZ @ MIA totals Over 8.5 2 2 LOSS
2026-06-10
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
MIL @ ATH moneyline Away ML 2 7 LOSS
MIN @ DET moneyline Home ML 2 10 LOSS
2026-06-09
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
MIL @ ATH moneyline Away ML 3 12 LOSS
CHC @ COL totals Over 12.5 2 10 LOSS
MIN @ DET moneyline Home ML 2 14 WIN
TEX @ KC totals Under 9.5 2 8 WIN
CIN @ SD totals Under 7.5 2 8 LOSS
2026-06-08
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
MIL @ ATH moneyline Away ML 3 29 WIN
CIN @ SD totals Under 8 2 8 PENDING
2026-06-07
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
WSH @ AZ moneyline Away ML 2 6 LOSS
PIT @ ATL moneyline Home ML 2 5 WIN
PIT @ ATL totals Under 8.5 2 5 WIN
MIL @ COL moneyline Away ML 2 16 WIN
SEA @ DET totals Over 8.5 2 9 WIN
LAA @ LAD moneyline Home ML 4 18 LOSS
TB @ MIA totals Over 7.5 2 5 LOSS
CWS @ PHI totals Over 9 2 14 WIN
NYM @ SD totals Under 7.5 2 10 LOSS
CLE @ TEX totals Under 7 2 10 LOSS
2026-06-06
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
PIT @ ATL totals Under 8 3 9 LOSS
PIT @ ATL moneyline Home ML 2 9 WIN
MIL @ COL moneyline Away ML 2 8 WIN
SEA @ DET totals Over 9 3 4 LOSS
LAA @ LAD moneyline Home ML 3 11 WIN
CWS @ PHI totals Over 10 2 9 LOSS
NYM @ SD totals Under 7.5 2 5 WIN
CLE @ TEX totals Under 7.5 3 6 WIN
2026-06-05
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
PIT @ ATL totals Under 8.5 2 9 LOSS
SEA @ DET totals Over 7.5 2 10 WIN
NYM @ SD totals Under 7 3 5 WIN
CLE @ TEX totals Under 7.5 2 5 WIN
2026-06-04
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
TOR @ ATL totals Under 7.5 2 9 LOSS
TOR @ ATL moneyline Home ML 2 9 LOSS
SF @ MIL moneyline Home ML 4 21 LOSS
SD @ PHI moneyline Home ML 2 10 WIN
2026-06-03
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
TOR @ ATL totals Under 8 2 10 LOSS
TOR @ ATL moneyline Home ML 2 10 WIN
BAL @ BOS moneyline Away ML 3 9 LOSS
BAL @ BOS totals Under 8.5 3 9 LOSS
ATH @ CHC totals Under 8.5 3 9 LOSS
KC @ CIN moneyline Home ML 2 7 LOSS
SF @ MIL moneyline Home ML 4 1 LOSS
CWS @ MIN totals Over 9 3 8 LOSS
CLE @ NYY totals Over 7.5 2 9 WIN
NYM @ SEA moneyline Home ML 2 8 LOSS
NYM @ SEA totals Over 7.5 3 8 WIN
2026-06-02
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
BAL @ BOS totals Under 8.5 3 6 WIN
KC @ CIN moneyline Home ML 2 7 WIN
SF @ MIL moneyline Home ML 4 11 WIN
NYM @ SEA moneyline Home ML 2 11 WIN
NYM @ SEA totals Over 7.5 2 11 WIN
TEX @ STL totals Under 7 3 11 LOSS
DET @ TB moneyline Home ML 3 8 LOSS
2026-06-01
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
KC @ CIN moneyline Home ML 2 11 LOSS
COL @ LAA moneyline Home ML 2 17 LOSS
SF @ MIL moneyline Home ML 4 18 WIN
NYM @ SEA totals Over 7 2 5 LOSS
NYM @ SEA moneyline Home ML 2 5 WIN
DET @ TB moneyline Home ML 3 19 LOSS
2026-05-31
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
DET @ CWS moneyline Home ML 3 3 WIN
DET @ CWS totals Under 8 2 3 WIN
ATL @ CIN moneyline Away ML 2 10 LOSS
BOS @ CLE totals Under 7 3 13 LOSS
PHI @ LAD moneyline Home ML 2 10 WIN
PHI @ LAD totals Over 9 2 10 WIN
AZ @ SEA totals Over 7.5 3 5 LOSS
LAA @ TB moneyline Home ML 2 7 WIN
KC @ TEX moneyline Home ML 2 9 WIN
KC @ TEX totals Under 7.5 2 9 LOSS
2026-05-30
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
NYY @ ATH moneyline Away ML 2 10 LOSS
DET @ CWS totals Under 7.5 2 8 LOSS
DET @ CWS moneyline Home ML 3 8 WIN
ATL @ CIN totals Under 9.5 2 7 WIN
ATL @ CIN moneyline Away ML 2 7 WIN
BOS @ CLE totals Under 6.5 3 10 LOSS
PHI @ LAD moneyline Home ML 2 7 LOSS
CHC @ STL totals Over 8 2 7 LOSS
LAA @ TB moneyline Home ML 2 17 LOSS
LAA @ TB totals Under 7 2 17 LOSS
KC @ TEX totals Under 8 2 13 LOSS
KC @ TEX moneyline Home ML 2 13 WIN
SD @ WSH moneyline Away ML 2 13 LOSS
2026-05-29
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
NYY @ ATH totals Under 9.5 3 10 LOSS
TOR @ BAL totals Over 9.5 3 11 WIN
DET @ CWS moneyline Home ML 3 7 WIN
DET @ CWS totals Under 8.5 2 7 WIN
BOS @ CLE totals Under 8 2 7 WIN
SF @ COL totals Over 10.5 2 14 WIN
PHI @ LAD moneyline Home ML 2 6 WIN
AZ @ SEA totals Over 7 2 13 WIN
LAA @ TB moneyline Home ML 2 13 WIN
KC @ TEX totals Under 7.5 3 10 LOSS
SD @ WSH moneyline Away ML 2 12 WIN
SD @ WSH totals Over 9.5 3 12 WIN
2026-05-28
Matchup Market Side Line Agree Result Outcome
ATL @ BOS moneyline Away ML 2 12 WIN
HOU @ TEX totals Under 7 4 6 WIN